Australian
RAWS blocks RV8 imports from Japan!
Our
former local RV8 auction correspondent, who regularly sends
the V8 Website reports from the RV8 auctions in Japan, mentioned
in his latest report "that sadly Australian buyers have
had to stop buying RV8s at auctions in Japan because of new import
regulations introduced in Australia. These new rules apply to other
makes too. If anyone is interested in the new Australian rules
(known as RAWS) they can be seen on the website below".
Thinking of the possible impact on the flow of RV8s coming to auction
he adds "almost all RV8s at auction in Tokyo will either
go back into the market in Japan or find their way back to the UK
or possibly mainland Europe. It is likely to be good news for UK
buyers as Australian buyers were paying good money for RV8s at auction,
so over the coming months there could be some bargains to be had".
(15.5.03)
Gavin Brown
in Tasmania reports that "the Federal Government closed
the Low Volume Import Scheme in Australia on 7th May 2003. All existing
compliance import holders have to meet new requirements and re-apply
to become a vehicle importer. This has been done to reduce the number
of importers and improve the quality of workmanship in achieving
vehicle compliance required in Australia". He feels it
could be "anything up to a year before the next RV8 will
be imported to Australia again". This was first highlighted
in our RV8 auction reports on 15th May. The feeling is there will
not be a major impact on RV8 prices in the short term as it is Summer
time in Japan now, but as Winter comes it will be interesting to
see how prices move if Australian imports have not resumed as seems
likely. The website for details of the Australian controls can be
seen at http://raws.dotars.gov.au/index.html
Our analysis opposite
suggestes RV8 prices at auctions in Japan will probably go flat
over the Summer 2003 but are likely to fall from say September as
the auctions see the effect of reduced overseas demand. So there
is likely to be a period of six, possibly nine months, from around
September 2003 when V8 enthusiasts seeking an RV8 should seriously
consider making their move!



1995 Woodcote Green 1698 seen at a recent auction in Tokyo
Comment
and analysis
In our analysis of the RV8 market in the UK- what
to pay for an RV8 - we identified the substantial flow of RV8s
returning from Japan to the UK as by far the major factor in determining
the secondhand price for RV8s in the UK. Between 2001 and 2002,
good quality RV8s had traded as low as £13,000 in the
UK for a car finished in Woodcote Green. Many enthusiasts recognised
that at that price level, an RV8 represented exceptional value and
an opportunity of acquiring a modern classic sportscar with V8 power.
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V8 Register - MG Car Club
But over the last
12 months or so prices have drifted up and Chris Watkins, who
runs the leading RV8 reimporter HS Imports, reported last June that
prices at auctions in Japan had risen to levels where "it
was becoming increasingly difficult to buy good quality RV8s at sensible
prices". Typically a good quality reimported Woodcote Green
RV8 fully prepared for delivery to the UK market, had drifted up to
between £14,500 to £16,000 - and even more for the sought
after colours like Nightfire Red and Oxford Blue which are in short
supply as reimports. (31.3.04)
The factors contributing
to that price increase were a combination of increased demand
in the UK and a substantial demand for RV8s in Australia:
UK demand: An increasing awareness amongst classic car enthusiasts
in the UK of both the qualities and value of RV8s as a modern classic
had been stimulated by several comprehensive reviews and reports of
the model carried by specialist magazines like MG World.
Australian
demand: Over the last two years an increasing factor in the market
has been the substantial demand from Australian purchasers so an increasing
flow of RV8s had been leaving the auctions in Japan for Australia.
Clearly the air-conditioning fitted as standard to Japan spec RV8s
was a particular attraction for Australian members. Jim Dolbel's specialist
RV8 website in Australia has been a particularly good information
source too.
Information
on the V8 Website: Our comprehensive market reports, auction news
and RV8 Workshop Notes support has been a popular source of information
on the RV8 for prospective purchasers as we have seen from our detailed
website hit reports. The V8 Website has also brought UK and Australian
(and those in New Zealand!) members together, particularly through
the V8 Bulletin Board.
So
where will prices go now?
Well at the V8 Gathering at Hazeley Heath on 18th June 2003 a
number of RV8 members discussed the latest news from Australia. The
general view is prices at auctions in Japan will probably float over
the Summer and possibly ease back a little, but once the Summer ends
then prices are likely to fall back as a major part of the demand
from overseas buyers will no longer be there. Just how far they fall
back will depend on how many RV8s continue to come to auction from
Japanese owners. The factors encouraging Japanese owners to sell at
auction continue to be the high cost of the periodic "Shaken"
test, vehicle garaging costs in Japan, and the reducing local support
for servicing the model. They will continue to be strong factors together
with the continued recession in the Japanese economy so it seems likely
that this combination of factors will maintain the flow of RV8s to
auction. So if the supply of RV8s going to auction holds up and
there is a lower demand because the Australians are blocked, the price
should drift down.
So
our conclusion is there is likely to be a period of six, possibly
nine months from around September 2003, when V8 enthusiasts thinking
of getting an RV8 should very seriously consider making their move!
Other
useful notes
What
to pay for an RV8
RV8
price trends
RV8
import trends
RAWS
impact on Australian RV8 imports
Reassurance
with RV8 reimports
RV8
auction system in Japan
RV8
auction news from Tokyo
"Dirty
seats" on RV8 auction reports
Understanding
RV8 auction reports
RV8s
for Sale - private & trade adverts
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reserved by the V8 Register of the MG Car Club, PO Box 251,
Abingdon-on-Thames, Oxfordshire OX14 1FF
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