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Autumn
Statement 2024 report: what did Rachel Reeves reveal?
Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves
delivered her Autumn Statement on Wednesday 30th October to the House
of Commons and updated MPs on the country's finances and the Government's
plans for tax and public spending, based on the latest forecasts from
the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). The Chancellor's statement
provided information on the UK Government's anticipated revenue generation
and announcements on plans for taxation and public spending. The spending
and borrowing announcements were stunning with taxes increasing by
£40 billion. Report
Posted:
241030 @ 1455
Report
of the Spring Statement 2025
As usual we will have a prompt report on what the Chancellor has to
say shortly after she finishes her statement to MPs in the House of
Commons, highlighting the key points of interest to V8 Register members.
Views on the current situation seen recently online.
BBC
& BDO
& IFS
& OBR
Released: 250316
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Spring
Statement 2025
The date has been announced for the Spring
Statement as Wednesday 26th March 2025. Rachel
Reeves has committed to a single major
fiscal event each year to give stability and certainty on upcoming
tax changes. The Treasury has so far ruled out any emergency Budget,
but nevertheless the proposed Spring Statement could end up taking
on a greater significance than currently intended. According to the
media, a Treasury spokesman did not rule out tax increases in the
Spring 2025, explaining that "the department would plan for all
scenarios".
Current situation
The Autumn Budget 2024 has already affected the UK economy, particularly
through the proposed rise in employers' national insurance payments.
The economy appears to be slowing down and job vacancies are falling.
With the increase
in NICs (National Insurance contributions) coming on 6th April 2025,
those costs could be passed on by businesses to consumers or the costs
saved ahead of the hit by employers cutting back on hiring workers.
Reeves could help economic growth by encouraging employers to invest
in people by making it less costly to employ them. A move in that
direction would help to boost business confidence, which took a knock
after her Autumn Budget in 2024.
But it is not just employers' NICs which are rising, but also the
National Living Wage, on top of increased employment rights - such
as a day one right to sick pay. More widely there is the challenge
of stagnation in the eurozone but also the new US administration under
Trump imposing "scatter-gun" tariffs on imports to the USA
from a hit list of countries including the UK. With
the UK economy seen to be underperforming and global factors indirectly
impacting the UK, there is growing speculation over whether the Chancellor
will break her self-imposed rules on borrowing. Her
two main rules are: not to borrow to fund day-to-day public spending
and to get debt falling as a share of national income by the end of
this parliament.
The OBR's forecast is expected to confirm that the £9.9bn financial
buffer to meet her budget rule by the 2029-30 financial year has been
wiped out. Reeves has repeatedly said her rules are "non-negotiable"
but ahead of the Spring Statement 2025 it's widely reported that the
Treasury has drafted plans for several billion pounds of spending
cuts. It is understood welfare spending is in the firing line, but
other UK Government departments will also see budgets pruned. OBR
What
could we see in the Spring Statement 2025 of interest to classic car
enthusiasts?
Possible changes in fuel duty
A newspaper report in August 2024 said Rachel
Reeves was weighing up lifting the 13-year-freeze on fuel duty,
but that she faced a dilemma as a poll commissioned by the newspaper
showed voters are not in favour of it. The impact of a fuel duty increase
would be more than a hit on drivers' motoring costs as it would have
a compounding effect in the UK economy more widely with higher transport
costs for suppliers delivering goods and services and higher public
transport costs. Fortunately the Autumn Budget 2024
included a freeze on fuel duty rates for 2025-26, a tax cut worth
£3 billion over 2025-26 which represents a £59 saving
for the average car driver. The temporary 5p cut in fuel duty rates
was extended by 12 months and will expire on 22nd March 2026 so whether
the fuel duty cut will be further extended or cancelled in the Spring
Statement 2025 is a key question.
Changes in Vehicle Excise Duty
The Government raised standard Vehicle Excise
Duty (VED) rates for cars, vans and motorcycles, excluding first year
rates for cars, in line with the RPI from 1st April 2025.
There was no mention of any adjustments
to the current VED exemption arrangement for historic vehicles over
40 years old.
VED
on Electric Vehicles from April 2025
With the UK Government's
ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel vehicles from 2030 the reform
of motor taxes had become an urgent question for the Treasury because
the switch to electric cars means almost £30bn in fuel duty
raised annually for the Treasury will need to be replaced. It was
announced VED will be paid by electric vehicles from April 2025.
Other tax rises
Press reports have hinted UK Government sources have been keen to
state that the Spring Statement 2025 is not a major budget event because
it will not include tax rises, but it will probably have more welfare
cuts and plans to cut more than 10,000 civil service jobs as Whitehall
departments battle to stay within spending limits under a new Government
efficiency drive.
As usual we will have a prompt report on the Chancellor's statement
and any matters of interest to
classic car enthusiasts. |